Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.003861 0.004050 0.004245 0.004459 0.004688 0.004927 0.005196
2025-11-02 0.003510 0.003789 0.004086 0.004427 0.004810 0.005227 0.005720
2025-11-09 0.003353 0.003691 0.004062 0.004500 0.005008 0.005582 0.006285
2025-11-16 0.003173 0.003545 0.003961 0.004466 0.005065 0.005762 0.006642
2025-11-23 0.003041 0.003440 0.003896 0.004459 0.005143 0.005959 0.007018
2025-11-30 0.002898 0.003312 0.003793 0.004396 0.005144 0.006054 0.007265
2025-12-07 0.002777 0.003204 0.003705 0.004345 0.005151 0.006151 0.007513
2025-12-14 0.002692 0.003134 0.003658 0.004337 0.005209 0.006310 0.007843
2025-12-21 0.002558 0.002997 0.003524 0.004214 0.005110 0.006260 0.007889
2025-12-28 0.002499 0.002951 0.003498 0.004225 0.005183 0.006434 0.008245
2026-01-04 0.002461 0.002927 0.003500 0.004269 0.005299 0.006668 0.008695
2026-01-11 0.002393 0.002864 0.003448 0.004241 0.005316 0.006767 0.008954
2026-01-18 0.002331 0.002807 0.003403 0.004220 0.005343 0.006882 0.009246
2026-01-25 0.002269 0.002748 0.003353 0.004191 0.005357 0.006977 0.009513
2026-02-01 0.002251 0.002745 0.003375 0.004258 0.005506 0.007272 0.010099
2026-02-08 0.002194 0.002690 0.003326 0.004227 0.005513 0.007358 0.010365
2026-02-15 0.002151 0.002650 0.003296 0.004220 0.005555 0.007497 0.010720
2026-02-22 0.002090 0.002586 0.003232 0.004162 0.005518 0.007515 0.010878
2026-03-01 0.002037 0.002530 0.003177 0.004115 0.005495 0.007551 0.011067
2026-03-08 0.002000 0.002496 0.003151 0.004108 0.005531 0.007678 0.011416
2026-03-15 0.001927 0.002411 0.003052 0.003994 0.005402 0.007541 0.011302
2026-03-22 0.001901 0.002389 0.003040 0.004004 0.005460 0.007704 0.011718
2026-03-29 0.001887 0.002383 0.003048 0.004044 0.005567 0.007946 0.012291